Chance, Cause, Clash

^z 25th April 2023 at 10:40am

The three dimensions of Thinking Better, in a nutshell, are understanding:

  • Chance – probability, averages, variances, correlations, statistical significance, noise, bayesian belief updating, ...
  • Causality – models, rates of change, feedback loops, time delays, system dynamics, ...
  • Conflict – goals, optimization, utility, deception, game theory, ...

That is:

  • See Clearly – when data are complex
  • Know Deeply – when diverse forces interact
  • Choose Wisely – when decisions must be made

(cf Greatest Inventions (2011-06-09), Think Better - Three Keys (2019-06-05), More Meta (2019-08-31), Clearly, Dearly, Nearly (2020-02-05), May I (2020-03-22), ...) - ^z - 2021-01-21